Louisville vs. N.C. State Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Louisville is favored on the road, as the Cardinals are getting odds of -4 points against N.C. State. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 64.5 points. Louisville has won five of the last six meetings with N.C. State. The two are 2-2-1 with the over/under total in their last five meetings. Thursday’s game takes place from Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina and will air live on ESPN.
Louisville is off to a 4-1 start overall and 1-1 mark in the ACC. The Cardinals are coming off a 55-10 win over Murray State last week, hitting the over for the third time in 2017. The Cardinals offense has been tough to stop, amassing 40 points and 575.4 yards per contest. Heisman winner Lamar Jackson has thrown for 1,636 yards and 13 touchdowns while rushing for 437 yards and five touchdowns. Jaylen Smith has caught 22 passes for 379 yards and two touchdowns. Dez Fitzpatrick has added six touchdown catches. Defensively, Louisville is allowing 24.6 points and 317.6 yards per game.
N.C. State comes into Thursday’s game 4-1 overall and 2-0 in the ACC following a 33-25 win over Syracuse. The Wolf Pack are 3-2 with the over, hitting the under in both ACC games. N.C. State is putting up 34.8 points per game this season while also averaging 461.2 yards per contest. Ryan Finley has thrown for 1,403 yards and nine touchdowns this season to lead the offense while Nyheim Hines has 411 rushing yards with three touchdowns. Defensively, the Wolf Pack are giving up 23.4 points and 370.4 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing just 85.6 per contest.
Both defenses have been surprisingly good this year, but I think the offenses will cancel them out. Both offenses can move the ball and find the end zone. Louisville has hit the over in 10 of their last 13 conference games and in seven of their last 10 road games. N.C. State has hit the over in 18 of its last 25 home games against a team with a winning road record. Look for plenty of big offensive plays on both sides of the ball as this game turns into a track meet.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: LOUISVILLE/N.C. STATE OVER 64.5