Georgia vs. Tennessee Prediction

College Football Week 5 Predictions: Georgia vs. Tennessee 9/29/17

Will Tennessee at least hang with Georgia when the SEC programs clash at 3:30PM ET today in Knoxville?

Game Info

Who: Georgia (4-0) at Tennessee (3-1)

When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 30

Where: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bulldogs are an 8.5-point road favorites to beat the Volunteers, who opened as a touchdown-sized underdog when the opening lines were released. As for the total, the number hit the board at 47 and that's where it currently sits.

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Georgia Betting Trends

The Bulldogs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall, so they've been an excellent play. They're also a perfect 4-0 at the betting window in their last four road games. Finally, they're an impressive 8-1 at the betting window in their last nine road games when playing an opponent that owns a winning home record.

Tennessee Betting Trends

The Volunteers are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games when facing a team with a winning record. They're 6-1 against the number in their last seven games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game, too. That said, they're just 7-20-1 against the spread in their last 28 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

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OUR PREDICTION: There's no reason to take Tennessee when you look at this matchup. The Vols have major issues at quarterback, which is a horrible sign for a team getting ready to face one of the fastest, most aggressive defenses in the nation. Plus, Tennessee's defense struggles to stop the run, again, a problem when facing a two-headed monster in Nick Chubb and Sony Michel. But with nearly 70% of bets on Georgia, this also feels like a trap game despite the fact that Tennessee beat the Bulldogs a year ago on a Hail Mary. But since 2011, this game has been decided by eight points or less in every meeting. Perhaps Georgia comes in overconfident and a little beat down after already beating Notre Dame and Mississippi State. I know it doesn't make sense statistically, but I like the Vols to keep things close this afternoon.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS +8.5

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