N. Illinois vs. San Diego St. Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, San Diego State is favored at home, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -10 points against Northern Illinois. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 47.5 points. These two met last season with San Diego State getting a 42-28 win as a 13-point road favorite. Tonight’s game will take place from Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. The contest airs live on the CBS Sports Network.
Northern Illinois is coming off a 21-17 win at Nebraska two weeks ago. The Huskies are now 2-1 on the season and 3-0 against the spread, covering in their lone loss to Boston College. The Huskies have a great defense, as they are allowing 16.7 points and 303.3 yards per game. The NIU run defense is allowing just 97.7 yards per game. Offensively, NIU puts up 26.3 points and 359.7 yards per game. Quarterback Ryan Graham is out with an elbow injury. He has thrown for 190 yards while rushing for 99 yards. Jordan Huff is leading the offense with 202 rushing yards while Daniel Santacaterina has 380 passing yards with three touchdowns.
San Diego State is off to a 4-0 start following a 28-24 win at Air Force last week. The Aztecs are 3-1 against the spread this season and 1-1 ATS as a favorite. San Diego State’s defense has been great as well, allowing just 19.5 points and 291 yards per game. Their pass defense is allowing just 167.3 yards per contest. On offense, SDSU is averaging 29 points and 396.3 yards per game. Their run game is the strength, averaging 227 yards per contest. Rashaad Penny has run for 716 yards and seven touchdowns this season to lead the way while Juwan Washington has 220 yards. Christian Chapman has thrown for 660 yards and five touchdowns.
Northern Illinois is a MAC program that has been accustomed to winning and winning on the road, but I think the Huskies are too overmatched to pull off a cover tonight. The Huskies are using a backup quarterback and traveling West for a very late kick by their standards. San Diego State has shut down much better offenses than this, so the Aztecs won’t need to light up the scoreboard to cover. I like SDSU at home behind its defense and powerful run game.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO STATE -10