Utah State vs. BYU Prediction & Odds

Utah State vs. BYU 09/29/22 Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Number 19 BYU hosts their in-state rival Utah State at 8:00 PM ET on Thursday night. Can the Cougars cover the big spread as home favorites and hold down the Aggies’ offense?

Utah State is 1-3 on the year, with losses to Weber State, Alabama, and UNLV. They defeated UConn in week one, 31-20. The Aggies are 0-4 ATS on the season. 

BYU is 3-1 with wins over South Florida, Baylor, and Wyoming already on the year. They lost on the road at Oregon in week 3 by a score of 41-20. The Cougars are 2-2 ATS on the year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

103 Utah State Aggies +24.5 at 104 BYU Cougars -24.5; O/U 60

8:00 PM ET Thursday, September 29th, 2022

Lavell Edwards Stadium, Provo, UT

Utah State vs. BYU Public Betting Information

The public is favoring the Cougars in this game. Our CFB Public Betting Page shows that 72% of public bets are on BYU -24.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around. 

Utah State Game Notes

The Aggies’ offense has struggled this year. They only scored 31 points combined in their 3 losses. With that being said, they might be due for some positive regression. Their quarterback Logan Bonner threw for 3,628 yards, 36 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions last year. He’s struggled so far, throwing for only 753 yards in 4 games. He’s completing only 56.4% of his passes and has a poor touchdown to interception ratio of 6-8. He did throw for 276 yards and 2 touchdowns against BYU last year, so he might be due for a bounceback game. If he plays better, the Aggies could stand to cover the large spread. 

BYU Game Notes

Cougars quarterback Jaren Hall is having a solid season for BYU. He’s 21st in the nation in QBR (79.9 out of 100) and 20th in passing yards (1,164). His touchdown to interception ratio is an excellent 9-1 and his completion percentage is good too, at 71.5%. What’s more, he should have two of his top targets available to him on Thursday night.

BYU wide receiver Gunner Romney has been out the first 4 games of the season with a lacerated kidney. He’s expected to play in his first game action of the year on Thursday night. The Cougars’ second leading receiver Chase Roberts left last week’s Wyoming game in the first quarter and didn’t return. He should be good to go on Thursday. As of this writing, there were no updates on Cougars wide receiver Puka Nacua who left last week’s game early with an undisclosed injury.         

Utah State vs. BYU Betting Trends

Utah State is 13-11 straight up since the beginning of 2020.

BYU is 24-5 straight up since the beginning of 2020.

73% of the handle is on BYU -24.

Utah State is 10-8 ATS dating back to the beginning of last year. 

BYU is 7-10 ATS dating back to the beginning of last season.

The under is 5-0 in Utah State’s last 5 games after a loss.

The under is 6-0 in Utah State’s last 6 non-conference games.

The under is 7-1 in BYU’s last 8 Thursday games. 

The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 games between Utah State and BYU.

Utah State vs. BYU Betting Prediction

BYU is trying to win 10 games in a season for the third year in a row. They’ll need to win this one if they want to stay on pace for that. But beware, as this is a potential “trap” game for the Cougars. BYU plays at Notre Dame at 7:30 PM ET under the lights on NBC next weekend. They may take this Utah State team lightly. If I were going to play the spread, I’d take Utah State +24 as that’s a lot of points, but I think there’s more value in the total. I like the under of 60 on Thursday.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PREDICTION: UTAH STATE/BYU UNDER 60

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