Ole Miss vs. Alabama Prediction

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide, 9/28/19 Predictions & Odds

Is No. 2 Alabama giving up too many points at home when the Crimson Tide play host to Ole Miss today at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

159 Ole Miss vs. 160 Alabama

Saturday, September 28, 2019

3:30PM ET – Bryant-Denny Stadium


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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Alabama is the clear favorite in this game, as the Crimson Tide are getting odds of -35.5 points against Ole Miss. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 61 points. The public betting currently has 76 percent going on Alabama as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Alabama looks dominant again

Alabama is coming off another dominant win, beating Southern Miss 49-7. The Crimson Tide are 1-0 in the SEC, 2-2 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total on the year.

The Tide are looking impressive on both sides of the ball. The offense is putting up 50 points and 550 yards per game, while the defense is allowing 10.8 points and 287.8 yards per contest. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,300 yards and 17 touchdowns without an interception. Jerry Jeudy is his leading receiver with 30 catches for 404 yards and six touchdowns. Najee Harris is the leading rusher with 266 yards and a score. Anfernee Jennings is leading the defense with 20 tackles and three sacks.

Rebels stunned by Cal

The Ole Miss Rebels suffered a 28-20 loss at home over California last weekend to drop to 2-2 on the year. Ole Miss did win its SEC opener, but the Rebels are just 1-3 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total.

Mississippi is struggling on offense, averaging just 25.3 points and 410 yards per game. Defensively, Ole Miss is giving up 22.3 points and 383.3 yards per contest. Matt Corral has been under center this year, throwing for 844 yards and four touchdowns, but a rib injury forced him out of last week’s game and he is questionable to play this afternoon as well. John Rhys Plumlee took over when Corral left the game and he has thrown for 82 yards this year. Elijah Moore is the team’s leading receiver with 29 catches for 380 yards and three touchdowns. Scottie Phillips is the leading rusher with 362 yards and four touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends


Alabama is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven conference games, but just 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win.

Ole Miss

The Rebels are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games on grass and 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September.


Alabama has absolutely destroyed Ole Miss the last two years, winning by a combined score of 128-10. The Crimson Tide have been able to run over most of their opponents this year, winning all by one game by at least 36 points. South Carolina managed to put up 23 points, but that was a road game. Ole Miss just doesn’t have the talent right now to compete with the Tide, but few do. I would expect another dominant Bama victory and cover.

College Football Week 5 Prediction: Alabama -35.5

Related: Ole Miss vs. Alabama Total Prediction

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