Middle Tennessee vs. Iowa Total Pick

Middle Tennessee vs. Iowa, 9/28/19 Week 5 Predictions & Preview

Will defense be the story when No. 14 Iowa plays host to Middle Tennessee today at Noon ET in a non-conference clash?

Game Snapshot & Odds

141 Middle Tennessee vs. 142 Iowa

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Noon ET – Kinnick Stadium


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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Iowa is the clear favorite in this game, as the Hawkeyes are getting odds of -24 points against Middle Tennessee. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 53 points. The public betting currently has 75 percent going on Iowa as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Iowa stays unbeaten

Iowa had the week off this weekend, but is coming off an 18-17 win at Iowa State two weeks ago. The Hawkeyes are 3-0 on the season, 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.

The Hawkeyes have been a dominant defensive team this season, allowing just 10.3 points and 262.7 yards per game. Kristian Welch is leading the unit with 22 tackles and a sack. On offense, Iowa is averaging 28.7 points and 405.3 yards per contest. Nate Stanley is leading the offense with 689 yards and six touchdowns while Mekhi Sargent is the leading rusher with 208 yards and a score. Ihmir Smith-Marsette is the top receiver with 11 catches for 194 yards and three touchdowns.

Middle Tennessee drops another

The Blue Raiders fell to 1-2 on the season two weeks ago with a 41-18 loss at home to Duke. Middle Tennessee is now 1-2 against the spread while hitting the over in all three games this year.

Middle Tennessee has struggled defensively this year, allowing 35.7 points and 460.7 yards per game. Offensively. MTSU is putting up 28 points and 414.7 yards per contest. Asher O’Hara is leading the team with 785 yards and eight touchdowns passing while also rushing for 202 yards and a score. Ty Lee is the leading receiver with 12 catches for 135 yards and a touchdown while Chaton Mobley has rushed for 107 yards and two touchdowns.

College Football Betting Trends


Iowa has hit the over in 10 of its last 14 games overall and in nine of its last 13 following a win.

Middle Tennessee

The Blue Raiders have hit the over in their last five road games and in five straight non-conference games.


The Hawkeyes have been solid defensively this season, which could lead to a low score. Middle Tennessee doesn’t have an intimidating offense to worry about either. The Blue Raiders could have their hands full with the Iowa offense, but this game seems like a bit of a trap for the Hawkeyes, so I expect the Iowa offense to struggle. This game should be low-scoring and more competitive than it should be on paper.

College Football Week 5 Prediction: Middle Tennessee/Iowa Under 53

Related: Middle Tennessee vs. Iowa Spread Prediction


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