Connecticut vs. UCF Total Prediction

Connecticut vs. UCF, 9/28/19 College Football Week 5 Predictions & Preview

Is the No. 22 UCF offense set to roll up the points after being beaten last week, as the Knights play host to Connecticut tonight at 7PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

117 Connecticut vs. 118 Central Florida

Saturday, September 28, 2019

7PM ET – Spectrum Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Central Florida is the overwhelming favorite at home, as the Knights are getting odds of -43 points against UConn. The over/under total for the game is listed at 64.5 points. The public betting currently has 67 percent going on UCF as the heavy home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

UCF falls to Pittsburgh

UCF overcame a 21-point deficit last week to lead at Pitt, only to see the Panthers beat them in the closing seconds of the game, 35-34. It was the first regular-season loss for UCF since 2016. The Knights are 3-1 on the season, 3-1 against the spread and 2-2 with the over/under total.

Central Florida still has impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. The offense is putting up 47.3 points and 559 yards per game while the defense is giving up just 19 points and 299.5 yards per game. Dillon Gabriel is leading the team with 1,057 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Gabriel Davis is the leading receiver with 20 catches for 380 yards, while Greg McCrae is the leading rusher with 298 yards and three touchdowns.

Connecticut loses big again

Connecticut is coming off an embarrassing 38-3 loss at Indiana last weekend for a second consecutive loss. The Huskies are 1-2 on the season, 1-2 against the spread and 3-0 with the under this year.

UConn is struggling offensively this year, as the Huskies are averaging just 16.7 points and 274 yards per game. Defensively, Connecticut is allowing 30 points and 324 yards per game. Mike Beaudry has missed the last two games with a shoulder injury and the QB is questionable to play this evening. Jack Zergiotis has thrown for 365 yards and three interceptions in his place. Kevin Mensah is leading the ground attack with 205 yards and two touchdowns while Cameron Ross is the leading rusher with 115 yards on seven catches.

College Football Betting Trends

UCF

The Knights have hit the under in five of their last six against a losing team and in six of their last eight conference games.

Connecticut

The Huskies have hit the under in four straight games and in six of their last seven against a winning team.

Prediction:

These two have hit the over in five of their last six meetings, but I think that could be a problem today. The Huskies aren’t a good team and I would expect their offense to struggle on the road against UCF. The Knights should be motivated for a dominant performance today after losing last week. UCF will be able to score their usual amount, but I just don’t see UConn putting up enough points to help the total go over.

College Football Week 5 Prediction: Connecticut/UCF Under 64.5

Related: Connecticut vs. UCF Spread Prediction

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