Vanderbilt vs. Florida Total Pick
Will Saturday's matchup between Vanderbilt and Florida turn into a defensive struggle at 12:00PM ET?
Who: Vanderbilt (3-1) at Florida (2-1)
When: 12:00PM ET, Saturday, September 30
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Gators are 10-point home favorites to knock off the Commodores, who opened as 7-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 43 points but was bet down to 42.
Vanderbilt Betting Trends
The Commodores are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games coming off a loss. They're also 14-6 at the betting window in their last 20 road games versus a team with a winning home record. That said, in their last seven games coming off a double-digit loss at home, they're just 2-5 against the number in their next game.
Florida Betting Trends
The Gators have been horrible to bettors, failing to cover in five of their last six games overall. They're also 2-8-1 at the betting window in their last 11 home games. Finally, the Gators are just 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six conference games and winless at 0-5 against the number in their last five games played in the month of September.
OUR PREDICTION: Even with the total set so low, I still like the under in this matchup. The under is 7-3 in the Gators' last 10 games overall, is 5-2 in their last seven conference games, and is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a win. On the other side, the under is 21-8-2 in the Commodores' last 31 games overall, is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games played in September, and is 55-26-1 in their last 82 conference games.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 5 PICK: VANDERBILT/FLORIDA UNDER 42