Navy vs. Memphis Prediction
Can Memphis continue its unbeaten season and pick up a cover at home when the it plays host to Navy on Thursday night at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
103 Navy vs. 104 Memphis
Thursday, September 26, 2019
8PM ET – Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Memphis is the favorite at home, as the Tigers are getting odds of -10.5 points against Navy. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 55 points. The public betting currently has 64 percent going on Navy as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Midshipmen getting rest
Navy has played just twice in the first four weeks of the season, earning wins over Holy Cross and ECU. The Midshipmen are 2-0 overall, 1-0 in the AAC, 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 with the under.
Not surprisingly, Navy has one of the top rushing attacks in the nation thus far. The Midshipmen are averaging 371.5 yards on the ground while putting up 43.5 points and 499.5 total yards per game on offense. The defense is giving up just 8.5 points and 226.5 yards per contest. Quarterback Malcolm Perry is leading the team with 254 passing yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 184 yards and five scores. Nelson Smith has added 148 rushing yards and three touchdowns. CJ Williams is the leading receiver with three catches for 117 yards and two touchdowns.
Memphis stays unbeaten
The Memphis Tigers are off to a 3-0 start to the season thanks to a 42-6 win at South Alabama on Sept. 14. Memphis also holds a win over Ole Miss this year. The Tigers are 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.
Memphis is putting up 37.3 points and 489.7 yards per game on offense this season while the defense is allowing just 13.3 points and 226.3 yards per contest. Brady White has thrown for 718 yards and five touchdowns to lead the offense while Kenneth Gainwell has rushed for 307 yards and three touchdowns. Damonte Coxie has added 15 receptions and 237 yards. JJ Russell is leading the defense with 16 tackles and a sack.
College Football Betting Trends
The Midshipmen have covered the spread in four straight conference games and in six of their last eight Thursday games.
The Tigers are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven conference games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a bye week.
Navy has been a real problem for Memphis. The Midshipmen have won three of the four meetings with the Tigers over the last four years, while going 3-0-1 against the spread in those four games. Though the Midshipmen are a one-dimensional offense, they do it very well and it can be tough for teams to prepare for. The Navy defense is also a competitive unit that will give Memphis some problems. I think 10 points is too many to give. Navy has proven that over the last four years.
College Football Week 5 Prediction: Navy +10.5