LSU vs. Auburn Prediction

College Football Week 4 Predictions: LSU vs. Auburn 9/24/16

After nearly blowing a sizable lead at home last week, will LSU fall victim to an upset tonight against Auburn at 6:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, LSU is a 3.5-point road favorite after opening as a 2.5-point fave versus Auburn. As for the total, the number opened at 45 and has been bet down to 44 at most online and Vegas sports books.

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LSU has killed bettors of late, covering just twice in its last eight games overall and just twice in its last seven road games as well. The Tigers are also 1-4 against the spread in their last five conference games, are 1-4 against the number in their last five games versus a team with a losing record, and are winless at 0-4 ATS in their last four games played in the month of September.

As for Auburn, the Tigers are 6-15 against the spread in their last 21 games overall and are a brutal 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games. They're also 3-9 at the betting window in their last 12 conference games and have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games in September. They're 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game as well.

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OUR PREDICTION: The home team has covered in six of the last seven meetings between these two teams. Neither has fared well against the spread but it's hard to back an LSU team right now that lost on the road to Wisconsin and nearly pull a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter last week at home versus Mississippi State. Whether it's Brandon Harris or Danny Etling at quarterback, the Tigers don't have a passing game and remain one-dimensional on offense. Take the points with the home dog, but don't be shocked if Auburn pulls off the upset outright.



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