San Diego St. vs. Air Force Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, San Diego State is favored on the road in this game, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -3.5 points against the Falcons. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 47 points. San Diego State has won the last six meetings in this series, and the two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings. Tonight’s game will be held from Falcon Stadium at USAF Academy in Colorado. The game will air live on the CBS Sports Network.
Air Force is coming off a 29-13 loss at Michigan last week to drop to 1-1 on the season. The Falcons have split the over/under total through two games, going under in last week’s loss. Air Force is allowing just 14.5 points and 227 yards per game on defense this year while scoring 37.5 points and racking up 447.5 yards per game on offense. Air Force relies heavily on the run, with 17 different players running the ball through two games. Timothy McVey is leading the team with 160 rushing yards while Arion Worthman has thrown for 236 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 93 yards and a touchdown.
San Diego State is 3-0 to start the year, including wins over Arizona State and Stanford the last two weeks. The Aztecs are 2-0-1 with the under through the three contests. The Aztecs have been impressive on defense this season, allowing just 18 points and 303.7 yards per game, including only 91.7 rushing yards per contest. On offense, SDSU is putting up 29.3 points and 406 yards per game. Rashaad Penny has led the offense with 588 rushing yards and four touchdowns while Christian Chapman has thrown for 480 yards and four scores.
Tonight’s game should be a physical contest where both teams will attempt to establish a ground game and control the line of scrimmage. I see both teams struggling to do so, as each defensive front is very formidable. San Diego State has hit the under in 18 of its last 26 games on grass and in nine of its last 14 games in September. The total is low, but I expect it to hit tonight as both teams will play into the other’s strength.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO STATE/AIR FORCE UNDER 47