TCU vs. Oklahoma State Prediction

College Football Week 4 TCU vs. Oklahoma State Predictions 9/23/17

Is Oklahoma State laying too many points to TCU this afternoon in a matchup of undefeated Big 12 programs?

Game Info

Who: TCU (3-0) at Oklahoma State (3-0)

When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 23

Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Oklahoma State is now a 12.5-point home favorite to knock off TCU after opening as an 11-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 64.5 but is all the way up to 70.5.

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TCU Betting Trends

The Horned Frogs have covered five of their last seven road games and are 5-1 against the number in their last six road games when playing a team with a winning home record. That said, they're 1-4 against the number in their last five games overall, are 2-7 against the number in their last nine games played in September, and are 2-7 against the spread in their last nine conference games.

Oklahoma State Betting Trends

The Cowboys are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall and have covered in six of their last eight games played in the month of September. They're also 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games coming off a win and are 5-1 against the number in their last six games when facing a team with a winning record.

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OUR PREDICTION: Mason Rudolph is at the controls of one of the most dangerous offenses in college football but now that TCU is back to playing stellar defense under Gary Patterson, I actually think this line is inflated. The Horned Frogs aren't inept offensively either, as Kenny Hill has completed 75 percent of his passes this season, which is ninth best in FBS. He also owns a QBR rating of 87.6. OK State is a legitimate playoff contender this year but I could see this game being closer than most expect.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: TCU HORNED FROGS +12.5

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