Alabama vs. Texas A&M Spread Pick

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Texas A&M Aggies, 9/22/18 Week 3 Predictions

The Texas A&M Aggies nearly upset one national title contender a couple of weeks ago when they went toe-to-toe with Clemson. Can the Aggies at least keep pace with the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday when the SEC rivals meet at 3:30 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

405 Texas A&M Aggies at 406 Alabama Crimson Tide

3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, September 22, 2018

Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Crimson Tide are 27-point favorites to beat the Aggies. The total, meanwhile, sits at 61 points. As of this writing, 52% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Tide.

Texas A&M Aggies

Nick Saban thinks Jimbo Fisher has done a nice job since taking over at Texas A&M. "They're a completely different team than they've been in the past," he said, noting that they're in more regular formations while still incorporating the spread.”

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama breezed to its first true road win of the season last week in a 62-7 win over Ole Miss, and its most impressive feat was slowing down an Ole Miss offense that looked so good for the season's first two weeks. The secondary was burned on the opening play, but when Ole Miss tried another deep ball on the next drive, Trevon Diggs knocked it away and the Tide cruised to a dominant performance.

Betting Trends

Texas A&M

The Aggies are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall and are 20-5-1 against the number in their last 26 games played in September.

Alabama

The Crimson Tide are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games and are 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall.

Prediction

While the Crimson Tide look far-and-away like the best team in the country, this point spread looks inflated. A&M quarterback Kellen Mond threw for 430 passing yards and three touchdowns against a Clemson team that has one of the best defensive lines in the nation. And as good as the Tide have been stopping the run at 3.2 yards per carry, they rank No. 58 in college football while allowing 201 passing yards per game through the air. Alabama allowed 391 total yards to Arkansas State two weeks ago at home, including 218 through the air. Jimbo Fisher’s squad will move the ball and while Alabama can score at will, this will be a better test for the Tide than Ole Miss was a week ago. I’ll take the points.

College Football Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies +27

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