Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction
Can No. 9 Florida add to the struggles of their rival, Tennessee, when the two meet up today at Noon ET in Gainesville?
Game Snapshot & Odds
355 Tennessee vs. 356 Florida
Saturday, September 21, 2019
Noon ET – Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida is favored at home in this game, as the Gators are getting odds of -14 points against Tennessee. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 48.5 points. The public betting currently has 55 percent going on Tennessee as the underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Florida loses Franks
Florida opened up SEC play last weekend with a 29-21 win at Kentucky, but lost starting quarterback Felipe Franks in the process. The Gators are off to a 3-0 start to the season, but are 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.
The Gators have been dominant on defense, allowing just 13.7 points and 300.7 yards per game this year. Offensively, Florida is averaging 32.7 points and 428.3 yards per game. Franks dislocated his ankle during the game with Kentucky. He had thrown for 698 yards and five touchdowns this year while rushing for 68 yards and a score. Kyle Trask now takes over. He has 166 passing yards with a touchdown this season. Van Jefferson is the leading receiver with 12 catches for 201 yards and a score. Lamical Perine is the leading rusher with 120 yards and two touchdowns.
Vols off to slow start
After losses at home to Georgia Southern and BYU, Tennessee finally picked up a win last weekend with a 45-0 victory over Chattanooga. The Vols are 1-2 against the spread with a 2-1 record with the over.
The offensive numbers were pretty bad for Tennessee until last weekend, but they now are averaging 33.7 points and 394 yards per game. Defensively, the Vols are giving up just 22.3 points and 306 yards per contest. Jarret Guarantano is leading the team with 629 yards and seven touchdowns passing while Ty Chandler has rushed for 248 yards and two scores. Jauan Jennings is the team’s leading receiver with 12 catches for 208 yards and four scores.
College Football Betting Trends
The Gators are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games following a win and 5-2 ATS in their last seven against a losing team.
The Vols are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games following a win and 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a cover.
It’s hard to judge what to expect from Trask, but he has played pretty well in his limited time on the field over the last two years. The concern for Florida is that the Gators haven’t been able to score consistently enough to cover against the likes of Miami and Kentucky. Tennessee hasn’t shown the ability to be one of those teams, so it is possible the Gators will run over the Vols. Tennessee is also making its first road trip of the year, so playing in the hostile environment could be a problem. Even in losses, Tennessee managed to keep the game within a score. I think the Vols will play up today in this rivalry game and do enough to keep it interesting as Florida works out its new starter.
College Football Week 4 Prediction: Tennessee +14