SMU vs. TCU Prediction

SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs, 9/21/19 Predictions & Odds

Will No. 25 TCU have any trouble at home when the Horned Frogs play host to SMU today at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

379 SMU vs. 380 TCU

Saturday, September 21, 2019

3:30PM ET – Amon G. Carter Stadium


Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, TCU is the favorite in this game, as the Horned Frogs are getting odds of -8 points against SMU. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 55 points. The public betting currently has 51 percent going on TCU as the home favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

TCU dominates Purdue

TCU is off to a 2-0 start to the season thanks to a 34-13 win at Purdue last weekend. The Horned Frogs are 1-1 against the spread while hitting the under in both games.

The Horned Frogs have looked impressive on defense, allowing just 10 points and 209.5 yards per game thus far. Offensively, TCU is putting up 36.5 points and 452.5 yards per game. Max Duggan has thrown for 235 yards and two touchdowns to lead the offense while Darius Anderson is the leading rusher with 207 yards and two scores. The defense is being led by Garret Wallow, who has 23 tackles with two sacks.

SMU looking strong

The SMU Mustangs are off to an impressive 3-0 start thanks to a 47-17 win over Texas State last weekend. SMU is now 3-0 against the spread while hitting the over in all three games as well.

SMU is having a strong start to the year on offense, as the Mustangs are averaging 44.3 points and 550 yards per game. Defensively, SMU is giving up 24.7 points and 350.3 yards per contest. Shane Buechele is leading the offense with 871 yards and five touchdowns while Reggie Roberson Jr. is the top target. He has 21 catches for 342 yards and two touchdowns. Xavier Jones is leading the ground attack with 291 yards and seven touchdowns. Patrick Nelson has led the defensive effort with 20 tackles, five sacks and an interception.

College Football Betting Trends


The Horned Frogs are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games, but 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.


The Mustangs are just 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 road games and 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 against Big 12 opponents.


These two are rivals, but you couldn’t really tell based on recent results. The Horned Frogs have won the last six meetings by at least 19 points. I know SMU has looked solid thus far, but its another thing to go on the road and play well against TCU. The Horned Frogs are still a power 5 program that is now ranked. They have a history of success on the national stage that SMU hasn’t had since before getting handed major penalties by the NCAA. TCU hasn’t given me any reason to doubt them in this matchup based on this season’s results. I will stick with the Frogs at home.

College Football Week 4 Prediction: TCU -8

Related: SMU vs. TCU Total Prediction

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