Louisville vs. Florida State Total Pick

Louisville vs. Florida State, 9/21/19 Week 4 Predictions & Preview

Will the points pile up quickly when ACC foes Louisville and Florida State meet up in a conference clash today at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

393 Louisville vs. 394 Florida State

Saturday, September 21, 2019

3:30PM ET – Doak Campbell Stadium


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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida State is the favorite in this game, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -6.5 points against Louisville. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 61 points. The public betting currently has 71 percent going on Louisville as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

FSU slips up again

Florida State suffered a 31-24 loss at Virginia last weekend to drop to 1-2 on the season. Their lone win came against Louisiana-Monroe at home in OT, 45-44. FSU is 0-2-1 against the spread and 3-0 with the over.

The Seminoles are putting up 33.3 points and 418.7 yards per game on offense this season while allowing 37 points and 485 yards per game on defense. James Blackman is leading the team with 843 yards and nine touchdowns passing. Cam Akers has been a force in the backfield, rushing for 387 yards and three touchdowns. Tamorrion Terry is the leading receiver with 14 catches for 234 yards and a touchdown.

Cardinals trying to heat up

Louisville has won two straight since losing to Notre Dame in the season opener. They have earned wins over Eastern Kentucky and Western Kentucky. The Cardinals are 2-1 on the year, 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.

The Cardinals have been explosive on offense at times, averaging 32.3 points and 446.7 yards per game. Defensively, Louisville is giving up just 18.7 points and 294.3 yards per contest. Jawon Pass has looked good at QB, throwing for 330 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 104 yards and two scores. However, he is dealing with foot injury that kept him out of last week’s game. Pass was able to return to practice this week, but hasn’t been given 100 percent clearance for this game. Malik Cunningham will start if Pass can’t play. He has thrown for 143 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 119 yards. Javian Hawkins is the leading rusher on the team with 338 yards and a score. Tutu Atwell is the leading receiver with 11 catches for 241 yards and four scores.

College Football Betting Trends

Florida State

FSU has hit the over in four straight games on grass and in seven of their last eight against a winning team.


The Cardinals have hit the over in four straight road games and in six of their last seven ACC games.


Florida State finds a way to keep things interesting. The Seminoles have shown the ability to make big plays on offense, but also give up big plays on defense. Louisville is in the same boat. The Cardinals have explosiveness at the skill positions and that should lead to some long touchdowns today. However, the Louisville defense is likely to be outmatched by the FSU offense and Cam Akers. I like this game to be entertaining and full of wild plays, which will lead to an over.

College Football Week 4 Prediction: Louisville/Florida State Over 61

Related: Louisville vs. Florida State Spread Prediction

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