San Diego St. vs. Air Force Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, San Diego State is favored on the road in this game, as the Aztecs are getting odds of -3.5 points against the Falcons. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 47.5 points. San Diego State has won the last six meetings in this series, covering the spread in five of those six wins. Saturday’s game will be held from Falcon Stadium at USAF Academy in Colorado. The game will air live on the CBS Sports Network.
San Diego State is 3-0 to start the year, including wins over Arizona State and Stanford the last two weeks. The Aztecs are 2-1 against the spread on the season, but 0-1 ATS as a favorite. The Aztecs have been impressive on defense, allowing just 18 points and 303.7 yards per game, including only 91.7 rushing yards per contest. On offense, SDSU is putting up 29.3 points and 406 yards per game. Rashaad Penny has led the offense with 588 rushing yards and four touchdowns while Christian Chapman has thrown for 480 yards and four scores.
Air Force is coming off a 29-13 loss at Michigan last week to drop to 1-1 on the season. However, the Falcons did cover the 23-point spread and are 2-0 against the spread in 2017. Air Force is allowing just 14.5 points and 227 yards per game on defense this year while scoring 37.5 points and racking up 447.5 yards per game on offense. Air Force relies heavily on the run, with 17 different players running the ball through two games. Timothy McVey is leading the team with 160 rushing yards while Arion Worthman has thrown for 236 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 93 yards and a touchdown.
This game looks like it should be a physical, defensive stand. Air Force was able to hold its own against the Michigan offense, so I think the Falcons can pose a challenge for the Aztecs up front. However, I do think the San Diego State defense will give Air Force similar problems. Defense has been the key for SDSU so far this season and should be the case again on Saturday. I like the Aztecs to grind out a cover by shutting down Air Force.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: SAN DIEGO STATE -3.5