TCU vs. Oklahoma State Pick

College Football Picks: TCU vs. Oklahoma State total set too high? 9/21/17

Is the total for Saturday's TCU and Oklahoma State game set too high? Let's dive into the matchup.

Game Info

Who: TCU (3-0) at Oklahoma State (3-0)

When: 3:30PM ET, Saturday, September 23

Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Cowboys are now 12.5-point home favorites to beat the Horned Frogs, who opened as 11-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 64.5 and has been bet up to 71.5.

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TCU Betting Trends

The Horned Frogs have covered five of their last seven road games and are 5-1 against the number in their last six road games when playing a team with a winning home record. That said, they're 1-4 against the number in their last five games overall, are 2-7 against the number in their last nine games played in September, and are 2-7 against the spread in their last nine conference games.

Oklahoma State Betting Trends

The Cowboys are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall an dhave covered in six of their last eight games played in the month of September. They're also 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games coming off a win and are 5-1 against the number in their last six games when facing a team with a winning record.

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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the Cowboys' last five games when facing an opponent with a winning record. On the other side, the under has cashed in six of TCU's last seven road games, in six of the Frogs' last seven conference games, and in eight of their last 11 games overall. OK State can score at will against most opponents, but TCU is back to playing outstanding defense under Gary Patterson. I like this matchup to fall short of the betting total.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: TCU/OKLAHOMA STATE UNDER 71.5

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