Florida vs. Kentucky Pick
Is the betting total for Saturday night's SEC matchup between Florida and Kentucky set too high?
Who: Florida (1-1) at Kentucky (3-0)
When: 7:30PM ET, Saturday, September 23
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY
Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Wildcats are 2-point home underdogs to pull off the upset versus the Gators, who opened as a 4-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 47 but has been bet down a full field goal to 44.
Florida Betting Trends
The Gators are 10-4 against the spread in their last 14 road games versus a team with a winning home record but are just 1-3-1 against the number in their last five conference games. They're also just 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games overall and winless at 0-4 against the number in their last four games played in the month of September.
Kentucky Betting Trends
The Wildcats are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight conference games, are 5-0 against the number in their last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing, and are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. That said, Kentucky is also winless at 0-4 against the spread in its last four home games.
OUR PREDICTION: The under is 6-1 in the Gators' last seven road games, is 5-1 in their last six conference games, and is 7-2 in their last nine games overall. On the other side, the under is 4-0 in the Wildcats' last four games, is 5-2 in tiher last seven home games, and 12-4-1 in their lat 17 conference matchups.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PREDICTION: FLORIDA/KENTUCKY UNDER 44