Michigan vs. Purdue Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Michigan is favored on the road, as the Wolverines are getting odds of -10 points against the Boilermakers. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 52 points. Michigan has won three straight in this series and the two have hit the under in two of their last three meetings. Saturday’s game takes place from Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana. The contest will air live on FOX.
Michigan is off to a 3-0 star to the season with wins over Florida, Cincinnati and Air Force. The Wolverines are 1-1-1 with the over/under total thus far. The U-M defense remains the strength of this team. Michigan is allowing just 14.7 points and 208 yards per game this season. The offense has been somewhat shaky, as it is posting 32.7 points and 402 yards per game. Wilton Speight only has 571 passing yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. The offense is being led by Ty Isaac, who has 336 yards on 47 carries.
Purdue is off to a nice 2-1 start following an impressive 35-3 win at Missouri last weekend. The Boilermakers are 2-1 with the under in the three games. Coach Jeff Brohm has both sides of the ball playing well, as the defense is giving up just 19.7 points and 374.3 yards per game right now. Their run defense is holding opponents to 129.7 yards per contest. On offense, Purdue is posting 459.7 yards and 35.7 points per game. David Blough has thrown for 597 yards and six touchdowns to lead the offense while Tario Fuller is adding 261 rushing yards and two scores.
On paper this game seems like it should be a battle of defenses. Michigan’s defense is definitely good and Purdue’s has held up pretty well against some good offensive teams. Still, the trends are very strong with the over in this one. Purdue has hit the over in 11 of its last 13 home games and 9 of its last 11 Big Ten games. Michigan has also hit the over in eight of its last 9 road games and in 12 of its last 16 Big Ten contests. The trends are just too strong for me to pass up.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: MICHIGAN/PURDUE OVER 52