Miss State vs. Kentucky Spread Pick
A pair of unbeaten SEC foes will square off on Saturday night at Kroger Field where the Kentucky Wildcats host the Mississippi State Bulldogs at 7:00 p.m. ET. Will the game turn into a defensive struggle or will the two teams produce enough offensively to hit the over?
7:00 p.m. ET, Saturday, September 22, 2018
Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky
Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetNow.eu, the Bulldogs are 10-point favorites to beat the Wildcats. The total, meanwhile, sits at 55.5 points. As of this writing, 51% of the public betting tickets wagered on this matchup are on the Bulldogs.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State senior CB Jamal Peters will not play on Saturday against Kentucky with an injury to his left leg. Peters is reportedly week-to-week with the leg injury. The 6-foot-2, 220-pound defender has struggled so far in 2018, but it could be injury-related, or at least somewhat due to the leg bothering him. Maurice Smitherman and Tyler Williams should get most of the snaps at corner as long as Peters is out.
Kentucky HC Mark Stoops said that Kentucky freshman WR Allen Dailey will be more involved with the offense as the season progresses. A three-star signing by the Wildcats, Dailey had two catches for 38 yards and a score in the rout of Murray State on Saturday. At 6-foot-3, 195-pounds, he has the size to be a red-zone threat, but also is athletic enough to make plays in the open field. Kentucky is going to ride Benny Snell all season, but Dailey is a player that potentially could eliminate the stuffed boxes that Snell is sure to face as the season progresses.
The under is 4-1 in the Bulldogs’ last five games overall and is 4-1 in their last five road games.
The over is 5-1 in the Wildcats’ last six home games and 4-1 in their last five conference games.
Redshirt sophomore quarterback Terry Wilson is better right now on the ground than he is through the air. The dual-threat quarterback will likely keep stay on the ground this weekend when he faces Mississippi State and if that happens, the clock will be moving and scoring will be down. Meanwhile, Nick Fitzgerald will move the ball enough to produce a win for the Bulldogs but UK has proved to be stout defensively in the early going. I see a competitive game on Saturday night that will stay low-scoring.
College Football Prediction: Mississippi State/Kentucky under 55.5