UCF vs. Pittsburgh Total Pick

UCF vs. Pittsburgh, 9/18/19 Week 4 College Football Predictions & Preview

Can No. 15 UCF go on the road and continue its offensive dominance when the Knights take on Pittsburgh on Saturday at 3:30PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

319 UCF vs. 320 Pittsburgh

Saturday, September 21, 2019

3:30PM ET – Heinz Field

TV: ABC

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, UCF is the clear favorite on the road, as the Knights are getting odds of -12 points against Pittsburgh. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 58.5 points. The public betting currently has 78 percent going on UCF as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

UCF runs over Stanford

UCF remains unbeaten after rolling past Stanford at home last weekend, 45-27. The Knights are now 3-0 on the season, 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.

The Knights have impressive numbers on both sides of the ball, as the offense is averaging 51.7 points and 604.3 yards per contest. Defensively, UCF is holding opponents to just 13.7 points and 253 yards per game. Dillon Gabriel is leading the team with 719 passing yards and nine touchdowns. Gabriel Davis is the leading receiver with 10 catches for 229 yards and three scores while Greg McCrae is the leading rusher with 258 yards and three touchdowns.

Pitt edged at Penn State

Pittsburgh is coming off a 17-10 loss at Penn State last weekend as a 17-point underdog heading into the game. The Panthers are now just 1-2 on the year with losses to Virginia and Penn State. They are 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 with the under.

The Panthers have struggled on defense in previous seasons, but have looked strong this year. They are giving up just 19 points and 303.7 yards per game this season while the offense is putting up just 14.7 points and 380 yards per game. Kenny Pickett is leading the team with 878 passing yards and two touchdowns, but he also has two interceptions. Maurice Ffrench is the leading receiver with 24 catches for 235 yards and a score while A.J. Davis is the leading rusher with 119 yards. Jaylen Twyman is leading the defense with 12 tackles and 4.5 sacks.

College Football Betting Trends

UCF

The Knights have hit the under in four straight road games and in five straight against a team with a losing record.

Pittsburgh

Pitt has hit the under in four straight home games and in 13 of its last 16 against a winning team.

Prediction:

The total is surprisingly high given the defensive numbers from both teams. The Knights are legit on defense and should be able to contain this poor Pittsburgh offense. I also think UCF will see its offensive numbers come back down to Earth a little bit by going on the road and facing a good defensive team in Pittsburgh. This game should be more of a grind for the Knights than usual and I think that will keep the scoring total down.

College Football Week 4 Prediction: UCF/Pittsburgh Under 58.5

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