Florida vs. Kentucky Total Prediction

Florida vs. Kentucky, 9/12/19 Week 3 College Football Predictions & Preview

Can No. 9 Florida go on the road and hold down Kentucky to a low total when the two SEC foes meet up on Saturday at 7PM ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

175 Florida vs. 176 Kentucky

Saturday, September 14, 2019

7PM ET – Kroger Field


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Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida is favored on the road, as the Gators are getting odds of -8 points against Kentucky. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 50 points. The public betting currently has 63 percent going on Florida as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Gators off to good start

Florida is off to a 2-0 start to the season with wins over Miami and Tennessee-Martin. The Gators are 1-1 against the spread thus far while hitting the under in both of their contests.

The Gators have been great on defense thus far, limiting opponents to 10 points and 247.5 yards per game. The offense is putting up 34.5 points and 423.5 yards per contest. Quarterback Feleipe Franks is leading the way for the team with 524 passing yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 45 yards and a score. Josh Hammond is his leading receiver with eight catches for 115 yards while Lamical Perine is the leading rusher with 93 yards and a touchdown. The Florida defense has 15 sacks as a team already with Jabari Zuniga leading the way with three.

Kentucky winning and covering

The Kentucky Wildcats are off to a 2-0 start with double-digit wins over Toledo and Eastern Michigan. Kentucky has covered the spread in both victories while hitting the over in both games as well.

Kentucky is putting up 38 points and 441.5 yards per game on offense while giving up 20.5 points and 366.5 yards per contest. The team took a big blow last week when quarterback Terry Wilson suffered a torn patellar tendon and will miss the rest of the season. He had thrown for 360 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 44 yards and a score. Sawyer Smith now steps in. He has thrown for 76 yards and two touchdowns this year. Kavosiey Smoke is the team’s leading rusher with 170 yards and two scores while Lynn Bowden Jr. has 13 catches for 131 yards and a score.

College Football Betting Trends


The Gators are 4-1 with the under in their last five games in September and 16-6 with the under in their last 22 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.


Kentucky has hit the over in its last four home games, but is 7-1 with the under in its last eight conference games.


These two have played some low-scoring games in the past and I would expect another low-scoring contest this weekend. Kentucky has to work in a new starting QB against a very good defense. That isn’t likely to lead to many points for the Wildcats. Florida doesn’t have an overwhelming offense either and the Kentucky defense should step up with the Wildcats needing help with a limited offense.

College Football Week 3 Prediction: Florida/Kentucky Under 50


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