New Mexico vs. Boise St. Total Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Boise State is favored at home, as the Broncos are getting odds of -16.5 points against the Lobos. The over/under total is listed at 58.5 points right now. The home team has won three straight in this series and the two have split the over/under in their last six meetings. These two will meet from Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The game will air live on ESPN.
Boise State is coming off a 47-44 loss to Washington State in triple OT last week to fall to 1-1 on the season. The Broncos had a 24-13 win over Troy to start the season. They are 1-1 with the over/under total. Boise is averaging 34 points and 379 yards on offense so far. Brett Rypien has thrown for 236 yards this year, but a head injury forced him out of last week’s game. Montell Cozart has thrown for 211 yards and three touchdowns and rushed for 108 yards and a score. He seems very capable of leading the offense with Rypien injured. Cedrick Wilson is the leading receiver with 13 catches for 212 yards and two touchdowns while Alexander Mattison is the leading rusher with 145 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is holding opponents to 30 points and 335 yards per game. Their run defense is allowing only 49 yards per game.
New Mexico is coming off a 30-28 loss at home to New Mexico State to drop to 1-1 on the season. The Lobos also own a 38-14 win over Abilene Christian, but they are 2-0 with the under through two games. New Mexico is averaging 33 points and 455.5 yards per game on offense thus far. Lamar Jordon has thrown for 316 yards, but has two INT’s to one touchdown. Jay Griffin IV has caught seven passes for 131 yards and two touchdowns while Daryl Chestnut has run for 108 yards. On defense, New Mexico is giving up 22 points and 391 yards per game. Their run defense has also been strong, allowing just 53.5 yards per game.
Boise State is a team that tends to bounce back well after a poor showing. While they playing Washington State tough, the Broncos let the game get away. They have hit the over in four of their last five after giving up 40 points in the previous game and they are 9-4 with the over in their last 13 after a loss. New Mexico is 7-2 with the over in its last 9 conference games as well. Look for Boise State to come out strong and put up some points while New Mexico tacks on some scores in garbage time to hit the over.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREDICTION: NEW MEXICO/BOISE STATE OVER 58.5