New Mexico vs. Wisconsin Prediction
Will No. 5 Wisconsin have any trouble covering the spread at home this afternoon when it plays host to New Mexico at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, September 8, 2018
Noon ET – Camp Randall Stadium
TV: Big Ten Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Wisconsin is the heavy favorite in this game, as the Badgers are getting odds of -34.5 points against New Mexico. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 60 points. The public betting for this game currently has 75 percent going on Wisconsin at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Wisconsin dominate, but don’t cover
Wisconsin started its season with a 34-3 win at home over Western Kentucky on Friday. The Badgers didn’t cover the 36.5-point spread and they went under the 52-point total in the win. Wisconsin has still covered in five of its last seven games overall.
The Badgers imposed their will in the opener, as they were able to establish themselves with the run and then break some big plays in the air, all while the defense held firm against the Hilltoppers. Wisconsin finished with 491 total yards as Jonathan Taylor rushed for 145 yards on 18 carries with two touchdowns. Quarterback Alex Hornibrook threw for 257 yards and two scores. Defensively, the Badgers created a pair of turnovers while holding WKU to 181 passing yards.
New Mexico has big offensive day
New Mexico started its season with a 62-30 victory over Incarnate Word this past weekend. The Lobos failed to cover the spread as a 36-point favorite, but they easily cleared the 63.5-point total. New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in six straight games.
In the victory, New Mexico had a good blend of offense. The Lobos finished with 680 total yards behind 361 passing yards and 319 rushing yards. Quarterback Tevaka Tuioti threw for 327 yards and four touchdowns on 13 of 21 passing. He also added 54 rushing yards and a score on 11 carries. Zahneer Shuler was the leading rusher with 90 yards on five carries. Defensively, New Mexico gave up 566 total yards to Incarnate Word. The Cardinals had 322 passing yards and 244 rushing yards.
College Football Betting Trends
The Badgers have covered in five straight after a failed cover and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four against Mountain West opponents.
New Mexico has failed to cover in four straight road games and in five of their last six non-conference games.
New Mexico gave up a lot of yards to Incarnate Word, so I would expect the Badgers to have little issue moving the ball on the Lobos. I don’t see New Mexico having a lot of offensive success, because the Wisconsin defense is legit and a far greater challenge for New Mexico this week. My concern for the spread is similar to what Wisconsin dealt with last week. The Badgers dominated, but just missed on covering. I think the same thing happens this week as they just won’t hit the gas pedal late when comfortably ahead.
College Football Prediction: New Mexico +34.5