WMU vs. MSU Prediction
Will No. 19 Michigan State put up another dominant defensive performance and find a way to cover a multi-touchdown spread when it hosts Western Michigan tonight at 7:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
367 Western Michigan vs. 368 Michigan State
Saturday, September 7, 2019
7:30PM ET – Spartan Stadium
TV: Big Ten Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Michigan State is the favorite at home in this game, as the Spartans are getting odds of -16 points against Western Michigan. The over/under total for the game is listed at 46.5 points. The public betting currently has 53 percent going on Western Michigan as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Spartans struggle on O, dominate on D
Michigan State was able to win its opener over Tulsa at home, 28-7, but the Spartans were just shy of covering the 22-point spread. They did easily go under the 47.5-point total. MSU has hit the under in nine straight games, dating back to last season.
The Spartans got the win last Friday, but their offense was still not looking the way you’d want to see it. MSU had just 303 total yards in the win. Defensively, MSU was absolutely dominant, as it held Tulsa to just 80 total yards and an amazing -73 rushing yards. MSU forced three turnovers and produced a touchdown and a safety. The Spartans only had one TD drive on offense and three of their field goals came on drives of less than 10 yards thanks to the defense fiving it great field position. Kenny Willekes had seven tackles, 1.5 sacks and two fumble recoveries to lead the MSU defense. Brian Lewerke threw for 192 yards and a touchdown on 21 of 37 passing to lead the offense.
Broncos roll in opener
Western Michigan opened up its season at home, picking up a 48-13 win over Monmouth last weekend. The Broncos easily covered as a 24.5-point favorite while going under the 73.5-point total.
It was a strong showing for the Broncos in the opener, as they put up 458 yards of offense, including 368 yards through the air. Defensively, WMU was able to hold Monmouth to 322 total yards. Jon Wassink threw for 368 yards and five touchdowns on 20 of 25 passing to lead Western in the win while DaShon Bussell and Giovanni Ricci combined for 10 receptions for 213 yards and two scores. LeVante Bellamy led the ground game with just 53 yards on 18 carries and one touchdown.
College Football Betting Trends
The Spartans are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games and 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
Western Michigan is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against Big Ten opponents and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in September.
Michigan State was pretty bad on offense, struggling to provide any blocking. Coach Dantonio called out his offense very publicly this week and I expect them to respond tonight at home. Western Michigan has a solid offense, but this MSU defense is as good as anyone in the country. Their front seven should dictate the game once again and create some short fields for the Spartan offense.
College Football Week 2 Prediction: Michigan State -16