TCU vs. SMU Prediction

SMU vs. TCU, 9/7/18 College Football Predictions & Odds

The college football weekend gets started tonight at 8PM ET when No. 16 TCU hits the road to face SMU at 8PM ET. Can the Horned Frogs cover on the road?

Game Snapshot & Odds

301 TCU at 302 SMU

Friday, September 7, 2018

8PM ET – Gerald J. Ford Stadium

TV: ESPN2

Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new College Football Odds & Betting Page.

Public Betting Trends

According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, TCU is the favorite on the road, as the Horned Frogs are getting odds of -22.5 points against SMU. The over/under total is currently listed at 59 points. The public betting for this game currently has 79 percent going on TCU on the road. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

SMU drops opener on the road

The SMU Mustangs suffered a loss in their opener, falling 46-23 at North Texas this past Saturday. The Mustangs were a 3.5-point underdog coming into the contest and failed to cover and they went under the 70.5-point total as well. SMU has failed to cover the spread in five straight games.

The loss to North Texas wasn’t really even as close as the score indicates. The Mustangs fell behind 36-0 through the first half before starting to make something happen in the second half. North Texas amassed 529 yards of offense, including 461 passing yards. SMU was held to just 256 total yards and only 4 rushing yards on 19 carries. Ben Hicks led SMU with 252 passing yards and two touchdowns on 12 of 24 passing.

TCU rolls in opener

The TCU Horned Frogs opened their season with a dominant 55-7 win over Southern. In the win, the Horned Frogs didn’t cover the 49.5-point spread in the win, but did go over the 58.5-point total. TCU has failed to cover the spread in four straight games as a program.

In the opener, TCU put up 499 yards of offense while allowing just 185 to Southern. A steady run game produced 235 rushing yards on 42 carries with two scores. Shawn Robinson found the end zone twice on his two carries for 45 yards. Robinson also threw for 182 yards on 17-of-24 passing with three touchdowns. On defense, TCU was able to create three turnovers

College Football Betting Trends

SMU

SMU is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight Friday games, but 10-4 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games.

TCU

TCU has covered the spread in four of its last five on fieldturf and five of its last seven after a failed cover.

Prediction:

TCU has been able to control this series for the most part. They have won the last six meetings and the last five have been won by at least 19 points. The Horned Frogs should be able to keep SMU from rushing the ball again and that will cause a lot of problems for the Mustangs. TCU is just too balanced and talented to let this game get competitive. I like the Horned Frogs to keep rolling.

 

College Football Prediction: TCU -22.5

Related: TCU vs SMU Total Prediction

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