USC vs. Alabama Pick

CFB Week 1 Picks: USC Trojans vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 9/3/16

Will Alabama roll and cover as a double-digit favorite tonight when it takes on USC at AT&T Stadium at 8:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Crimson Tide is a 12-point favorite versus the Trojans tonight, while the over/under currently sits at 52.5 points. Both the point spread and total have moved off the original numbers posted by oddsmakers, as Alabama has gone from a 10-point favorite to a 12-point fave, and the over/under has dropped from 54 down to 52.5.

Bet Tonight's College Football Games

The Trojans were a mixed bag for bettors in 2015, covering in six games but failing to win at the betting window in eight other opportunities. USC was a bad bet last season specifically as an underdog, failing to cover in any of the three games when receiving plus points and losing by an average margin of 16.3 points per game in those situations. As a road team, USC was also 2-3 against the spread.

Despite facing some relatively high point spreads, Alabama managed to cover in eight of its 15 games a year ago, winning by an average margin of 19.9 points per contest. As a favorite, the Crimson Tide was 7-7 at the betting window and was also 3-3 against the spread in non-conference games. (Here's why this game should fall under for bettors.)

NCAA FB QUICK LINKS: Scores & Matchups | Injuries | Odds Comparison | Betting Trends | ATS Stats | Standings

OUR PICK: Alabama is once again starting over at quarterback but that hasn't hurt Nick Saban's squad in recent years. The Tide went to the playoffs two years ago with Blake Sims under center for the first time in his career, and won the national championship last season with Jake Coker starting for the first time on a full-time basis. No matter which signal-caller winds up starting for 'Bama, he will have Calvin Ridley, O.J. Howard and Bo Scarbrough at his disposal. But will the Tide cover tonight? Alabama hasn't been a very good play in non-conference games, going 3-11-1 against the spread in those situations. The Tide is also 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 September games, whereas the Trojans are 4-1 against the number in their last five games in the month of September.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 1 PICK: USC TROJANS +12

Recent NCAAF Discussions

MLB COLL PIG FOR SAT FRI NOES GOOD on Sat, Sep 2021 by Timmy1961
newsletters NFL & NCAA on Sat, Sep 2021 by froggy
Harry Bondi on Sat, Sep 2021 by hungry hill
MLB COLL PIG FOR FRI THURS OK WITH XTRA PLAYS on Fri, Sep 2021 by Timmy1961
Loading...

College Football Predictions

Thumbnail Auburn vs. Penn State Week 3 Prediction The SEC will battle the Big Ten on Saturday night when No. 22 Auburn takes on No. 10 Penn State at 7:30 p.m. ET. With the Nittany Lions listed as 5-point home...
Thumbnail Alabama vs. Florida Week 3 Prediction SEC rivals clash at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday when No. 11 Florida hosts No. 1 Alabama at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS. With the total sitting at 60 points,...
Thumbnail Purdue vs. Notre Dame Prediction Will the Purdue Boilermakers cover as a 7.5-point road favorite on Saturday afternoon when they visit Notre Dame Stadium to take on the No. 12 Fighting Irish at 2:30...
Thumbnail Nebraska vs. Oklahoma Week 3 Prediction Is the under the best bet on the board when it comes to Saturday’s matchup between Nebraska and No. 3 Oklahoma at 12:00 p.m. ET? The non-conference rivals...
Thumbnail Maryland vs. Illinois Prediction The total in Friday night’s Big Ten matchup has moved from 59.5 up to 61.5 but is the over the best bet when Maryland takes on Illinois at...

NCAAF Headlines