Ole Miss vs. Memphis Total Prediction
Will the points pile up quickly when Memphis plays host to Ole Miss in a featured non-ranked game this afternoon at Noon ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
175 Ole Miss vs. 176 Memphis
Saturday, August 31, 2019
Noon ET – Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Memphis is the slight favorite at home, as the Tigers are getting odds of -4.5 points against Ole Miss. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 65 points. The public betting currently is split down the middle, 50-50. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Tigers eye big non-conference win
Memphis is coming off an 8-6 record in 2018, the third year for coach Mike Norvell. He guided the Tigers to a 5-3 record in the AAC. This is a big season opener for the Tigers and a chance to earn a win over a SEC team. Memphis was 8-6 against the spread last year as well while going 8-6 with the over.
The Tigers averaged 42.9 points and 523.1 yards per game on offense last season, which ranked in the top 10 in the nation. The offense has quarterback Brady White back this year. He threw for 3,296 yards and 26 touchdowns last season as a sophomore. He loses his top target and leading rusher, but Patrick Taylor Jr. is back in the backfield. Taylor was second on the team with 1,122 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns.
Rebels trying to get on track
It’s been a tough couple of years for Memphis and head coach Matt Luke after the debacle of the Hugh Freeze-era. The Rebels were just 5-7 last season with a 1-7 record in the SEC. Ole Miss was only 3-9 against the spread while going 6-6 with the over/under total.
The Rebels were pretty formidable on offense, averaging 33.9 points and 510.5 yards per game. However, the Ole Miss defense was among the worst in the nation by allowing 36.2 points and 483.5 yards per contest. Ole Miss will bring back eight starters on defense this year. Offensively, just three starters are back for Ole Miss. They will have to rely heavily on running back Scottie Phillips, who rushed for 928 yards and 12 touchdowns in 2018. Redshirt freshman Matt Coral is going to get the start at quarterback this season. He has to work in new starters at receiver and three new starters on the offensive line.
College Football Betting Trends
The Tigers are 10-2 with the over in their last 12 non-conference games and 16-5 with the over in their last 21 home games.
Ole Miss has hit the over in eight of its last 10 non-conference games and in six of its last eight on fieldturf.
The trends like the over, but I am not so sure. Memphis is a very explosive team, but I think the Tigers are going to have some problems with an SEC defense. Ole Miss may not be intimidating, but the Rebels still have SEC talent and size. The Rebels can’t execute offensively on a consistent basis either. I think this game will keep both teams in the high 20’s to low 30’s and that will allow the under to hit.
College Football Week 1 Prediction: Ole Miss/Memphis Under 65