Bowling Green vs. Oregon Total Pick
Will the points pile up quickly on Saturday night when No. 24 Oregon plays host to Bowling Green at 8PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
Saturday, September 1, 2018
8PM ET – Autzen Stadium
TV: Pac-12 Network
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Public Betting Trends
According to oddsmakers at BetNow.eu, Oregon is the clear favorite in this game, as the Ducks are getting odds of -32 points against Bowling Green. The over/under total has been set at 74 points. The public betting for this game currently has 72 percent going on Oregon at home. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our College Football Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Bowling Green takes a step back in 2017
After a 4-8 record in 2016, Bowling Green went 2-10 last year by losing its last three games. Head coach Mike Jinks comes into his third season as head coach at BG. The Falcons were 3-9 against the spread and 7-5 with the over during the 2017 season.
Bowling Green struggled on defense last year, allowing 456 points. That was the second-most allowed in the MAC. Offensively, BG put up 304 points. This year, Jarret Doege comes into the season as the starter. The sophomore split time at the position last year, but established himself late. He threw for 1,381 yards and 12 touchdowns with just three interceptions in 2017. Doege has his top target back this year as well in Scott Miller, who caught 63 passes for 722 yards. Running back Andrew Clair also returns after rushing for 725 yards and four scores in 2017.
Oregon makes changes for 2018
After a 7-5 regular season for Oregon, the Ducks saw first-year coach Willie Taggert bolt for Florida State. Mario Cristobal coached in the bowl game, a loss, but still was named the head coach in the offseason. He was the head coach at FIU from 2007-12. The Ducks were just 6-7 against the spread last season and 7-6 with the under.
The Ducks still had a pretty good offense last year, scoring 468 points. However, the Oregon defense gave up 377 points. Justin Hebert returns to lead the Oregon offense this year at QB. He threw for 1,983 yards and 15 touchdowns as a sophomore. He also had five rushing touchdowns. The Ducks will have questions on the ground after losing Royce Freeman, who had 1,475 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, as well as Kani Benoit and his 10 rushing touchdowns. Leading receiver Dillon Mitchell does return, but he had just 42 catches for 517 yards and four touchdowns last year.
College Football Betting Trends
Bowling Green has hit the over in seven straight games and in four straight road games.
Oregon has hit the over in 52 of its last 72 home games and in 12 of its last 17 games on fieldturf.
When you think Oregon, you think shootout. My concern is that the Ducks are under their third head coach in three years and that can create some issues with execution of the scheme. Things are continually changing and being coached differently. While I expect Oregon to still score a healthy amount of points with its superior speed, I don’t necessarily see this being the shootout oddsmakers expect. I don’t see BG coming out with a lot of big plays on the road against this defense. Oregon’s speed will be an issue for the Falcons in that regard as well.
College Football Prediction: Bowling Green/Oregon Under 74