Purdue vs. Nevada Prediction
Can Purdue handle going on the road to open the season when the Boilermakers take on Nevada on Friday night at 9:30PM ET?
Game Snapshot & Odds
157 Purdue vs. 158 Nevada
Friday, August 30, 2019
9:30PM ET – Mackay Stadium
TV: CBS Sports Network
Compare odds and from multiple different online sportsbooks and shop for the best lines at our new NCAAF Odds & Betting Page.
Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Purdue is favored on the road, as the Boilermakers are getting odds of -10.5 points against Nevada. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 58 points. The public betting currently has 62 percent going on Purdue as the road favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Purdue faded in 2018
Purdue lost four of its last six games to end the 2018 season to finish at 6-7 on the year. They Boilermakers were 5-4 in the Big Ten. The team is entering its third year under Jeff Brohm as head coach. Purdue was 7-6 against the spread in 2018 while going 7-6 with the over.
The Boilermakers put up 30.5 points and 443.9 yards per game on offense last year. Their passing attack ranked 11th nationally at 307.5 yards per game. The team has a new starting QB as David Blough graduated after throwing for 3,705 yards last season. Elijah Sindelar is the new starter. He is dealing with a knee injury, but is expected to play tonight. Sindelar has one of the top receivers in the nation to work with in Rondale Moore. He caught 114 passes for 1,258 yards and 12 touchdowns last year. He also rushed for 213 yards. Defensively, Purdue gave up 30 points and 452.6 yards per game. Their pass defense was among the worst in the country, giving up 284.7 yards per game.
Wolf Pack look for upset
The Nevada Wolf Pack are coming off an 8-5 record in the 2018 season where it went 5-3 in the Mountain West Conference. Nevada is entering his third season under Jay Norvell as head coach. The Wolf Pack were 7-6 against the spread last season and 8-5 with the under.
Nevada put up 31.1 points and 430.8 yards per game last season. Their passing attack was the strength, but the Wolf Pack have a new starting QB with Ty Gangi graduating. He threw for 3,331 yards and 24 touchdowns in 2018. Cristian Solano was expected to get the start, but he suffered a hand injury that has him out indefinitely. Redshirt freshman Carson Strong is now getting the start. He will have some veteran receivers to work with and the team has leading rusher Toa Taua back. He has rushed for 872 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada gave up 26.9 points and 387.5 yards per game last year.
College Football Betting Trends
The Boilermakers are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine non-conference games and 14-6 in their last 20 road games.
Nevada is just 2-6 against the spread in its last eight non-conference games, but 7-3 ATS in its last 10 Friday games.
I don’t love Purdue having to cover a double-digit spread, but Nevada is definitely hindered at quarterback right now. While the Boilermakers aren’t a great defense, I think they can do their part on Friday night and put some pressure on this first-time starter. Offensively, Purdue still has a very explosive offense led by Moore, who can break open a big play at any moment. I think Purdue can show its making strides as a program with a statement win on Friday. I will take my chances on them showing up.
College Football Week 1 Prediction: Purdue -10.5