Armed Forces Bowl Prediction
Only three college football games remain in bowl season and the next up is the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl, which features Southern Miss and Tulane colliding today at 11:30AM ET.
Game Snapshot & Odds
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
277 Tulane vs. 278 Southern Miss
Saturday, January 4, 2020
11:30AM ET – Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Public Betting Trends
According to the latest oddsmakers, Tulane is favored in this bowl game, as the Green Wave are getting odds of -7 points against the Golden Eagles. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 56.5 points. The public betting currently has 55 percent going on Tulane as the favorite. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.
Tulane backing into bowl season
Tulane had a second half of the 2019 season to forget. The Green Wave were 1-5 over their last six games, including a three-game losing streak to end the year. Tulane is now 6-6 overall, 8-4 against the spread and 6-6 with the over/under total.
The Green Wave is a strong offensive team, averaging 33.3 points and 456.8 yards per contest. Defensively, Tulane is allowing 27.4 points and 378.9 yards per contest. Justin McMillan is leading the Tulane offense with 2,229 passing yards and 14 touchdowns while also rushing for a team-high 704 yards and 12 scores. Other top rushers Corey Dauphine and Darius Bradwell are both questionable for this game with injuries. They have combined for 1,000 yards and nine scores. Darnell Mooney is the team’s top receiver with 670 yards and five touchdowns on 45 receptions.
Southern Miss struggles down the stretch
Southern Miss backed into bowl season as well, losing their final two games of the regular season to Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic. The Golden Eagles are 7-5 on the season, 6-6 against the spread and 8-4 with the under.
The Golden Eagles are pretty steady on both sides of the ball. They are giving up just 25.9 points and 350.3 yards per game on defense. Offensively, Southern Miss is averaging 27.8 points and 411.3 yards per game. Jack Abraham is leading the offense with 3,329 passing yards and 18 touchdowns, but also has 15 interceptions. He also has rushed for five touchdowns. Quez Watkins is the top receiver with 55 catches for 1,024 yards and five scores, while Kevin Perkins is the top rusher with 548 yards and three touchdowns. Terry Whittington is leading the defense with 32 tackles and 7.5 sacks.
College Football Betting Trends
The Green Wave are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 against CUSA opponents and 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
The Golden Eagles are 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six bowl games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games on grass.
I expect a fair amount of points in this game, which I think favors Tulane. The Green Wave have the stronger offense behind their ground attack. Even with some injuries to worry about, I think the Wave will be able to overcome them and work through this USM defense. The Golden Eagles should score as well, but their inability to control he line of scrimmage with the run game will eventually become a problem, and that will allow Tulane to pull away by a few scores.
Armed Forces Bowl Prediction: Tulane -7