Notre Dame vs. LSU Prediction

Citrus Bowl Predictions: Will LSU Cover Small Spread vs. Notre Dame? 1/1/18

Will the LSU Tigers cover as a small favorite on New Year's Day when they take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Citrus Bowl at 1:00 p.m. ET?

ODDSMAKERS LIKE: LSU. According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Tigers are 3-point favorites to beat the Fighting Irish, who opened as 1-point underdogs. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 50 but was bet up to 51.5 at most sports books.

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THE PUBLIC LIKES: Notre Dame. As of Monday morning, 53% of betting tickets were on the Fighting Irish to cover the spread while 62% of the money is also on Notre Dame.

INJURY REPORT: Derrius Guice (undisclosed) is probable for LSU and so is offensive lineman Donavaughn Campbell (foot). Arden Key (knee), however, is out, as are linebackers Corey Thompson (undisclosed) and Donnie Alexander (shoulder). On the other side, Cameron Smith (hamstring) is probable, while Chase Claypool (shoulder), Deon McIntosh (suspension), Brock Wright (shoulder), Kevin Stepherson(disciplinary) and C.J. Holes (disciplinary).

WHO WE LIKE: LSU. Notre Dame has been a horrible bet of late. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games overall, are 0-4 against the number in their last four games played in January and have failed to cover in four of their last five bowl games. They're also 1-4 at the betting window in their last five games coming off an ATS loss.

The Tigers are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games overall, are 5-0 against the number in their last five games coming off a win, and are 6-0-1 at the betting window in their last seven games coming off an ATS victory. They're also 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

 

CITRUS BOWL PREDICTION: LSU TIGERS -3

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