MSU vs. Duke Tuesday Hoops Prediction
One of the biggest matchups on Tuesday’s college hoops slate has No. 8 Michigan State taking on No. 6 Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium at 7:30 p.m. ET. Are the Blue Devils a smart play as a 4-point home favorite or will Sparty cash as the underdog?
623 Michigan State Spartans (+4) at 624 Duke Blue Devils (-4); o/u 152
7:30 p.m. ET, December 1, 2020
Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
Michigan State vs. Duke College Basketball Prediction
The Blue Devils are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games dating back to last season, but they’re just 2-5 against the number in their last seven games coming off a win. The Spartans, meanwhile, have cashed four straight tickets as an underdog, but the number still feels short in my eyes.
Thus, the total offers more value in my eyes. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Spartans’ last five games overall, is 4-1-1 in their last six road games and has cashed in 21 of their last 27 games as a road underdog. The over is also 26-10 in Michigan State’s last 36 games as an underdog, is 5-1 in its last six games versus an opponent with a winning record and is 3-1-1 in the Spartans’ last five road games when facing an opponent with a winning home record.
On the other side, the over is 20-7-1 in Duke’s last 28 games overall, is 12-3-1 in the Blue Devils’ last 16 home games and is 16-5-1 in their last 22 games when they’re favored at Cameron Indoor. The over is 5-1 in the Blue Devils’ last six games versus a team with a winning record as well.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE/DUKE OVER 152