Rhode Island vs. Valparaiso Pick

Rhode Island vs. Valparaiso College Basketball Predictions 11/29/16

Will Valparaiso pull off the small upset tonight when it hosts No. 21 Rhode Island at 8:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, Valparaiso is a 3-point home underdog versus Rhode Island after opening as a 3.5-point dog. As for the total, the number hit the board at 134 but has been bet up to 135.5. The Rams enter play at 5-1 straight up and 3-3 against the spread, while the Crusaders are 6-1 overall and 2-3 in their five line games in 2016.

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RHODE ISLAND KEY TRENDS: The Rams are just 3-7 at the betting window in their last 10 non-conference games and are 7-18-1 against the spread in their last 26 road games as well. They’re also 5-15-2 against the spread in their last 22 games against opponents with a winning record and are 4-10-1 against the number in their last 15 games when coming off a failed cover in their previous game.

VALPARAISO KEY TRENDS: The Crusaders have struggled to cover in their last four lined home games, going 0-4 against the spread. They’ve also failed to cover the number in four of their last five games following a win, are 2-5 against the number in their last seven games overall and are 2-5 at the betting window in their last seven non-conference games.

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OUR PREDICTION: Despite the issues that the Crusaders have had covering at home and off wins, they’ve been an excellent underdog play for bettors. They’re 8-1 against the spread in their last nine games as a dog and are even better as a home dog, covering in 14 of their last 17 games in those situations. They’re also 13-3 against the number in their last 16 games as a home underdog of between 0.5 and 6.5 points. Put the 3 in your back pocket but you might not even need them.

 

TUESDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL PREDICTION: VALPARAISO CRUSADERS +3

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