Louisville vs. Purdue Pick
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, Purdue is the favorite at home in this game, as the Boilermakers are getting odds of -7.5 points against the Cardinals. The over/under total for the contest has been set at 146 points. These two meet tonight from Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana. The game will air live on ESPN.
Despite the firing of Rick Pitino just weeks before the season, the Cardinals have managed a 4-0 start to the season. However, the Cardinals are just 1-2 against the spread and facing their toughest opponents yet. Louisville is scoring 81.8 points per game this season while allowing 63.2 points per game on defense. Deng Adel is leading the team with 17.5 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Ray Spalding is adding 12 points and 9.3 rebounds per contest.
Purdue is coming off an 89-64 win over Arizona this past weekend after suffering losses to Tennessee and Western Kentucky. Purdue is 5-2 on the season and 4-2 against the spread. The Boilermakers are putting up 92.1 points per game this season while allowing 67.1 per contest. Carsen Edwards is putting up 18 points and 4.4 rebounds per game to lead Purdue while Vincent Edwards is adding 14 points and 9 rebounds per game.
Purdue has won three of their last four meetings with Louisville, covering the spread in those three victories as well. While Louisville has managed to win so far, they aren’t doing a consistent job of covering. The Cardinals are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after a win and 1-6 ATS in their last seven against a winning team. Purdue has covered in 11 of its last 14 non-conference games and in six of their last eight against the ACC. The public betting is strongly with Louisville, but I think the Cardinals will get exposed tonight.
CBB DAILY PREDICTION: PURDUE -7.5