Final Four Matchup Breakdown

2018 Final Four Breakdown & Risk Mitigation: From The Bookies

The 2018 Final Four is set. In the first Final Four Semifinal on March 31, Loyola-Chicago battles Michigan.

In the second Final Four Semifinal that day, Villanova takes on Kansas. What are online bookies doing to mitigate risk?

Keep reading to find out!

Loyola Chicago Ramblers +5.5 vs Michigan Wolverines -5.5

Loyola Chicago looks solid enough to cover the 5.5 points in their semifinal match with Michigan on Saturday.

The Ramblers have a decent inside player in Cameron Krutwig. Krutwig should contain Michigan’s top scorer, Moritz Wagner. If Wagner doesn’t score, Michigan must rely on their guards.

That could help Loyola Chicago who has good enough guards to play with the Wolverines’ guards.

Pay per head agents know all this. That’s why they’ve set max betting limits on the Loyola Chicago moneyline.

Most per head agents will use their layoff accounts if too much money heads to the Ramblers.

Eventually, though, teams like Loyola Chicago fail in the NCAA College Basketball Tournament.

Therefore, there’s a good chance the Ramblers lose by more than 6 points to Michigan on Saturday.

Those bookies who believe that are likely to let the dollars on Loyola Chicago ride.

Kansas Jayhawks +5 vs Villanova Wildcats -5

The line opened at Kansas +4.5. The line is now Villanova -5. What that means is sports bettors dumped on Villanova as soon as the line was set.

But, 59% are taking the 5 points on the Kansas Jayhawks. That tells pay per head agents that most believe Kansas should only be a 4 to 4.5 dog in this.

The way agents will mitigate risk in this game is to use their Line Movers, offered by, to change the betting line.

Just because most sportsbooks have it at Villanova -5 it doesn’t mean that all online bookies must have the line at -5.

After changing the line, bookies will also mitigate risk by using their layoff accounts. No matter who is favored in a particular book, that bookie will use her layoff account to mitigate risk on the other side.

Why? Kansas versus Villanova is a battle between two #1-seeds.

This is how online bookies will treat both 2018 Final Four Semifinal games on Saturday. It goes without saying that most bookies will already have max betting limits on teams to win the 2018 Final Four.

Remember, pay per head agents will likely follow these same strategies for the NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship Game.

If handicapper or sports bettors plan to become pay per head agents, they should do so by signing up for’s Prime Package, this way they have access to all the best tools, including the Line Mover.


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