Arkansas vs. UConn Prediction & Odds

Arkansas vs. UConn 3/23/23 NCAA Betting Prediction, Odds, & Trends

Number eight seed Arkansas and #4 seed UConn head to Las Vegas to face each other at 7:15 PM ET Thursday night on CBS in the third round of the NCAA Tournament.

Can the Huskies cover the 4.5-point spread as neutral-site favorites?

Arkansas is 22-13 on the year with their best wins coming over Texas A&M and Kansas. Their worst losses came against LSU and Vanderbilt. The Razorbacks are 18-16-1 against the spread this season.

UConn is 27-8 this season with their best wins coming over Alabama and Marquette. Their worst losses came against St. John’s and Seton Hall. The Huskies are 23-11-1 against the spread this year.

Game Matchup and Betting Odds

639 Arkansas Razorbacks (+4.5) vs. 640 UConn Huskies (-4.5); O/U 140

7:15 PM ET, Thursday, March 23, 2023

T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Arkansas vs. UConn Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Huskies in this contest. Our public betting data illustrates that 72% of public bets are on UConn -4.5. Do note that these numbers are subject to change and could be different once tipoff rolls around, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Arkansas Game Notes

Arkansas’s leading scorer is junior guard Ricky Council IV. The 6’6” Durham, NC native is averaging 16.1 points per game while shooting 43.6% from the field this season. He’s a volume scorer and will likely lead the Razorbacks in shot attempts on Thursday.

Razorbacks guard Anthony Black is a unique player. He’s 6’7” and 198 pounds and has averaged a nice stat line of 12.6 points, 5.1 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals per game for Arkansas this season. His scoring and on-ball defense will likely be key to the outcome of this game.  

UConn Game Notes

UConn’s best player is junior forward Adama Sanogo. The 6’9” 245-pound Mali national is pouring in 17.3 points per game and pulling down 7.5 rebounds per game for the Huskies this year. He’s a dangerous scoring threat because he’s shooting well both from the field (60.5%) and the free throw line (78.2%) this season. 

The Huskies’ most important guard is sophomore Jordan Hawkins. Hawkins is leading UConn in three-pointers made this season with 95 and he’s converting his treys at a respectable 37.8% clip this year. He’ll likely have the chance to hit some triples if Arkansas decides to double-team the Huskies’ bigs in this contest. Whether he makes those shots or not could be the deciding factor in this game. 

Arkansas vs. UConn CBB Betting Trends

Arkansas is 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games.

UConn is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

UConn is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

UConn is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

Arkansas vs. UConn CBB Prediction:

There are several betting trends that favor the UConn Huskies ahead of this game on Thursday. UConn has had a lot of tourney success against the number recently. To wit, the Huskies are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 NCAA Tournament games. UConn has been solid on Thursdays as well, as the Huskies are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 Thursday games. And finally, UConn has been great at keeping the momentum rolling after a victory this season as they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight-up win. UConn is one of the best teams left in the West region and the entire tournament as a whole, and I think they dispatch an overachieving Arkansas squad by 5 points or more on Thursday.


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