Wisconsin vs. Villanova Prediction

Will Wisconsin cover as underdog vs. Villanova? NCAA Predictions 3/18/17

Will Wisconsin cover as an underdog today at 2:40PM ET when it takes on Villanova in the second round of the NCAA tournament?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Wildcats are 5.5-point favorites versus the Badgers while the over/under currently sits at 129 points, up from the opening number of 128.5.

Wisconsin was in a back-and-forth battle with Virginia Tech until the closing minutes when the Badgers pulled away. They advanced to the second round with an 84-74 victory as a 6-point favorite and have now covered in four of their last five games. Their only non-cover came last Sunday in the Big Ten Tournament Championship Game when they were routed 71-56 by Michigan, who was a 2-point underdog.

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The Wildcats cruised in the second half against Mount Saint Mary's in the opening round. Villanova won 76-56, but still fell short at the betting window as a 25-point favorite. The Wildcats have failed to cover in two of their last three games but are still 6-4 at the betting window over their last 10.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Badgers have been a great play as an underdog in NCAA tournament games, going 6-1-1 at the betting window in their last eight opportunities. They're also 6-1 against the number in their last seven non-conference games, are 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall, and are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games. Wisconsin's slow tempo can sometimes frustrate opponents that constantly want to run the floor. Even if the Badgers don't advance to the Sweet 16, I like them to cover.


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