Sunday March Madness Free Pick

2012 march madness free picks predictions odds trends nofolk state vs florida

OMAHA, NE (The Spread) – No. 7 Florida takes on No. 15 Norfolk State from Omaha in the third round of the NCAA Tournament at 6:10pmET.

ODDS: The Gators have been installed as a 14.5-point favorite over the Norfolk State Spartans for tonight’s game, while the over/under is currently sitting at 144 points. The Florida Gators enter play with a 24-10 overall record and are 4-1 on neutral floors this season, while the Norfolk State Spartans are 26-9 overall and are 6-1 at neutral sites.

LINE MOVEMENT: The Gators opened as 15-point favorites and the line moved to 14.5 at most sports books. The total opened at 141.5 and moved to 144 at most sportsbooks.

View 2012 College Basketball Championship Odds

PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers placed on tonight’s game, 80% of college basketball public bettors currently favor the Spartans. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date public betting numbers.

MARCH MADNESS FREE PICK: Take Florida. According to the latest college basketball trends, the Gators are 13-3 against the spread in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 neutral site games, 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 4-1-1 against the spread in their last 13 neutral site games. Norfolk State shocked #2 Missouri, 86-84 in their previous game. The problem the Spartans will have is following that incredible performance. They normally shoot 31.8% from beyond the arc and about 44% from the field. Against Missouri, they shot 53% from three-point range and 54% from the field. They also outrebounded them by 13. They won't be able to control the boards against the bigger Gators, who dominated a pretty good Virginia team in their opener, 71-45 and dominated the board (+15 margin). They also shot just 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and still won by 26. That's not good new for Norfolk State.

MARCH MADNESS FREE PICK: FLORIDA GATORS –14.5

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