AAC Championship Game Prediction

AAC Tournament Championship Game: Will SMU beat Cincinnati? 3/12/17

Is SMU a good bet to prevail versus Cincinnati today at 3:15PM ET in the American Athletic Conference Tournament Championship Game?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Mustangs are now 2-point favorites versus the Bearcats after opening as a 1.5-point favorite. The total, meanwhile, sits at 128.5 points after opening at that same number.

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Cincinnati reached today's championship game by routing Tulsa 80-61 as a 15.5-point favorite and then soundly beating UConn 81-71 as a 9.5-point favorite. The Bearcats have now won eight of their last 10 games and are 5-5 against the spread during that same span. They're 16-13 against the spread on the season.

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The Mustangs held off a hard-charging East Carolina team in their first game of the AAC tournament and then soundly beat Central Florida 70-59 on Saturday to advance to the title game. While they didn't cover against the Pirates as a 19-point favorite, they did post a win at the betting window yesterday as an 8-point favorite versus the Knights.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Mustangs are 23-5-1 against the spread in their last 29 games as a favorite, are 9-2-1 against the number in their last 12 games coming off an ATS win and are a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five games as a favorite of between 0.5 and 6.5 points. The Bearcats, meanwhile, are just 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 neutral site games and have failed to cover in five of their last six games when playing an opponent with a winning record.

AAC TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME PREDICTION: SMU MUSTANGS -2

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