AAC Championship Game Prediction

Will SMU cover spread vs. Central Florida in AAC Championship Game? 3/11/17

Will SMU cover as a sizable favorite versus Central Florida in the American Athletic Conference semi-final today at 2:00PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mustangs are now 8.5-point favorites versus the Knights after opening as a 9-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 127.5 and that's where it currently sits.

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In order to reach the championship game, the Knights had to get through Memphis, which they did easily on Friday in an 84-54 victory as a 2.5-point favorite. The win was Central Florida's sixth in a row and the team has won seven of its last 10 games, covering in six of those contests.

SMU had a little more trouble against East Carolina than Central Florida had with Memphis. After jumping out to a large halftime lead, ECU stormed back before eventually falling, 81-77. The Mustangs came nowhere close to covering the 19-point spread as a favorite, but that was their 14th consecutive victory.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Mustangs are 22-5-1 against the spread in their last 28 games as a favorite and have covered in 10 of their last 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. They're also 20-6-1 at the betting window in their last 27 games overall, and have covered in 22 of their last 28 games coming off a win. Despite receiving a second-half scare from East Carolina on Friday, SMU should walk away with a double-digit victory today with a conference title on the line.

 

AAC TOURNAMENT SEMI-FINAL PREDICTION: SMU MUSTANGS -8.5

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