Mississippi State vs. Alabama, 3/10/23 CBB Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Prediction

No. 4 Alabama will take on Mississippi State in the SEC Tournament Quarterfinal at 1:00 p.m. ET on Friday. Will the Crimson Tide cover as a 7.5-point home favorite or is there a better play on the board?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

829 Mississippi State Bulldogs (+7.5) at 830 Alabama Crimson Tide (-7.5); o/u 136.5

1:00 p.m. ET, Friday, March 10, 2023

Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Mississippi State vs. Alabama Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 64% of public bettors are currently backing Alabama when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

Mississippi State Bulldogs DFS Spin

Tolu Smith ended with 14 points (5-8 FG, 4-5 FT) and 10 rebounds in 36 minutes during Tuesday's 66-64 OT loss to Missouri. The senior logged his second straight double-double despite losing to Missouri Tuesday. The forward has been phenomenal for the Bulldogs this season, extending his double-digit point streak to 12 straight games after Tuesday. Expect Smith to record more assists moving forward as he didn't record any in the loss to Missouri.

Alabama Crimson Tide DFS Spin

Brandon Miller logged 19 points (7-23 FG, 2-12 3Pt, 3-3 FT), 10 rebounds and two assists over 36 minutes before fouling out of Saturday's 67-61 loss to Texas A&M. The star freshman reached his seventh double-double of the season in Saturday's loss to Texas A&M. Despite shooting 30.4 percent from the field and 16.7 percent from the three-point mark, the forward was still a threat leading the Crimson Tide in scoring. Expect Miller to continue to dominate as the SEC Conference Tournament begins.

Mississippi State vs. Alabama CBB Betting Trends

Favorite is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings

Crimson Tide are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall

Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall

Bulldogs are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss

Mississippi State vs. Alabama CBB Prediction:

The over is 4-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last five games, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off an ATS loss and is 4-0 in their last four neutral site games. On the other side, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the Bulldogs’ last four games overall and has cashed in four of their last five games coming off a win.

CBB BETTING PREDICTION: MISSISSIPPI STATE/ALABAMA OVER 136.5