Duke vs. North Carolina Prediction

ACC Tournament Picks: Will Duke get its revenge on North Carolina? 3/10/17

Will Duke avenge its final regular season loss to North Carolina when the rivals clash again tonight at 7:00PM ET in the ACC tournament?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Tar Heels are 4-point favorites versus the Blue Devils after opening as a 3-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 155.5 and that's where it currently sits.

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Duke has advanced to the semi-finals of the ACC tournament with wins over Clemson and Louisville, respectively. The Blue Devils covered the spread in both games, knocking off the Tigers as a 6.5-point favorite and beating the Cardinals outright as a 2-point underdog. The Blue Devils have now won seven of their last 10 games and are 4-5-1 against the spread during that stretch.

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North Carolina routed Miami 78-53 as an 8.5-point favorite yesterday afternoon to advance to the semis. The Tar Heels had a first-round bye after finishing the regular season with a 27-6 record. They beat Duke 90-83 as a 7-point home favorite in both teams' final regular season game last Saturday night.

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OUR PREDICTION: The Tar Heels are 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven conference games, are 5-1-1 against the number in their last seven games when they're favored, and have covered in four of their last five games coming off a win. The Blue Devils are just 7-17-1 against the spread in their last 25 conference games and are 2-5-2 against the number in their last nine games as an underdog despite covering yesterday as a dog. UNC has a major advantage in terms of rest, as Duke will be playing its third game in three days.

ACC TOURNAMENT PREDICTION: NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS -4

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