Florida St. vs. Duke Pick
Will No. 17 Duke bounce back from its most recent loss tonight when it hosts No. 15 Florida State at 7PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Duke is favored at home, as the Blue Devils are getting odds of -6.5 points against Florida State. The over/under total for the game is listed at 155 points. FSU won the first meeting this season, 88-72, at home on Jan. 10. Duke had won four straight prior to that.
Duke has dropped two straight games coming into today, both road losses to Syracuse and Miami. The Blue Devils are now 22-7 overall and 10-6 in the ACC. Duke has failed to cover in three straight to fall to 11-17 ATS on the season. Duke is putting up 80.6 points per game on offense while allowing 68.4 on defense. When at home, the Blue Devils are putting up 85.6 points per contest. Luke Kennard is leading the team with 19.9 points and 5.2 rebounds per game while Jayson Tatum adds 16.1 points and 7.3 rebounds per contest. Grayson Allen is averaging 15 points per game, but dealing with an ankle injury that has him questionable to play tonight.
Florida State has won two straight, including a 76-74 win at Clemson this weekend. The Seminoles are now 23-6 on the season and 11-5 in the ACC. FSU is 15-10-2 against the spread this season, but struggles ATS on the road, going just 4-7-1. On the season, FSU averages 84.1 points per game on offense while allowing 68.4 on defense. When on the road, FSU is only putting up 70 points per game on offense and allowing 76.1. Dwayne Bacon is leading the team with 16.6 points per game while Jonathan Isaac is adding 12.8 points and 7.3 rebounds per contest.
Duke is struggling but Florida State is a poor road team. The Seminoles are drastically worse on the road, especially on offense. That should help Duke, who is pretty strong defensively at home, allowing opponents to shoot just 27 percent from the arc. Even if Allen is out, Duke still has plenty of offensive talent. The Blue Devils shoot nearly 50 percent at home.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL DAILY PREDICTION: DUKE -6.5