Is 17.5 too much to lay on MSU to cover?

Penn State vs. Michigan State 2/28/16 College Hoops Picks & Predictions

No. 6 Michigan State is a massive favorite today versus fellow Big Ten rival Penn State at 12:00PM ET. Will Sparty cover?

View Today's College Hoops Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Spartans are a 17.5-point home favorite versus the Nittany Lions while the total currently sits at 138. Penn State enters play today with a 5-5 record both straight up and against the spread over its last 10 games while MSU is 7-3 overall and 8-2 at the betting window over its last 10.

See what our advanced matchup report says about this game

This is a lot of points to lay in a conference game but there's no good reason to back PSU at this point. The Nittany Lions are 7-9 against the spread as an underdog this season and even as a dog of 15.5 or more, they're 1-2 ATS on the year. They simply don't have the firepower to hang with elite opponents inside the conference.

Denzel Valentine and Bryn Forbes are going to be a handful for PSU this afternoon. The duo has averaged 12.9 3-pointers and shot 52.9 percent from beyond the arc over its last seven games. The Spartans also haven't been shy about running up the score at the Jack Breslin Student Events Center this season, as they're 6-1 against the spread as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points.

Again, 17.5 is a lot to lay but Michigan State is still the best play on the board in this matchup.

SUNDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS -17.5

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