North Carolina vs. Florida State Prediction

North Carolina vs. Florida State, 2/27/23 CBB Betting Prediction, Odds & Trends

ACC foes meet in Tallahassee, FL on Monday night when Florida State hosts North Carolina at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. Is 7.5 too many points to lay with the Tar Heels or will UNC come through for bettors?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

851 North Carolina Tar Heels (-7.5) at 852 Florida State Seminoles (+7.5); o/u 151.5

7:00 p.m. ET, Monday, February 27, 2023

Donald L. Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL

North Carolina vs. Florida State Public Betting Information

Our CBB Public Betting Information page indicates that 60% of public bettors are currently backing North Carolina when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.

North Carolina Tar Heels DFS Spin

Pete Nance had 11 points (3-12 FG, 0-3 3Pt, 5-5 FT), 10 rebounds and five assists across 33 minutes during Wednesday's 63-59 win over Notre Dame. Nance recorded an excellent stat line thanks to his two-way play and solid output in the assists category, as he posted a season-high mark in that category. The shooting woes can't be overlooked, however, as he finished the game with more field goals (12) than points scored (11). He's gone six games without surpassing the 11-point mark, but he also has two double-doubles in that stretch.

Florida State Seminoles DFS Spin

Caleb Mills closed Saturday's 75-69 loss to Boston College with 27 points (5-14 FG, 0-2 3Pt, 17-21 FT), seven rebounds and two assists across 38 minutes. Mills hadn't been playing well of late, with three single-digit scoring performances over his last five games and just one outing in which he reached the 15-point mark during that span, but he bounced back admirably here and registered his best scoring numbers of the season. Mills has been a regular double-digit scorer for the Seminoles, however, so it wasn't surprising to see him get out of this funk so efficiently.

North Carolina vs. Florida State CBB Betting Trends

Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings

Favorite is 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings

Seminoles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall

Tar Heels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games

North Carolina vs. Florida State CBB Prediction:

I don’t trust either of these two teams, so I’m taking the under, which is 4-0 in the Tar Heels’ last four games following an ATS win and is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a win.


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