Baylor-Texas a good bet to go over?
In what should be a high-scoring game for bettors, No. 25 Baylor takes on No. 24 Texas today at 2:00PM ET on ESPN.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the total for this Big 12 matchup currently sits at 140 points while Texas is listed as a 5-point home favorite over Baylor.
The Bears enter play today with a 19-7 overall record but are just 7-12 against the spread, including 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games. As for the Longhorns, they're 17-9 straight up and 13-12 at the betting window, but a red-hot 8-2 against the spread over their last 10 games.
These two teams hate each other, as evidence of the chippy play that usually occurs when they meet. That should mean plenty of foul shots on both sides, which drives up the combined points for over bettors.
Texas proved earlier this season that it can make Scott Drew's 1-3-1 look vulnerable by attacking the lane with quickness. When Baylor tried to collapse, Isaiah Taylor often found open players on the wing for a 3-pointer or hit teammates breaking to the baseline. Assuming the Longhorns can have success with that technique again, points should flow from Texas.
What about Baylor offensively? Well, Texas has to deal with Taurean Prince, a 6-foot-8, 220-pound small forward that leads the Bears ins coring at 15.1 points per game while also grabbing 5.8 rebounds. He's a projected first round pick in the 2016 NBA Draft and will be a thorn in the Longhorns' side after he scored 18 points and grabbed seven rebounds earlier this season. Without a true small forward on the roster, Texas doesn't have a player to truly match up with Prince.
The previous two meetings between these teams has gone under, including the 67-59 matchup won by Texas on February 1. But the over is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings and 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Austin.
SATURDAY COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: BAYLOR/TEXAS OVER 140