North Carolina vs. Louisville Pick

NCAA Prediction: Will unranked Louisville take down North Carolina? 2/17/18

Are the host Louisville Cardinals favored for good reason today when they meet 16th-ranked North Carolina at 8:15PM ET?

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Cardinals are a 1-point favorite on the spread line. The total is set at 156 points. Both the spread and the total are still intact from where they opened.

Bet Tonight's NCAA Action

As of Saturday afternoon, 64 percent of public bets have come in on the visiting Tar Heels. Online wager info also shows that 62 percent of bets are being placed on the over.

North Carolina enters having won four in a row, although it had the benefit of having three of the games at home. Prior to that, the Tar Heels had lost three straight. North Carolina is 6-4 ATS in its last 10, while the over is 6-4. Louisville comes in on a two-game winning streak and is 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 games. The over is 7-2-1.

In head-to-head meetings, North Carolina won the last game 74-63 last season but it was played on its home floor. The last time the two squads met at Louisville was Feb. 1, 2016, when the Cardinals came away with a 71-65 victory. North Carolina is 7-3 straight up in the last 10 matchups, but Louisville is actually 6-4 ATS. The under has hit in four straight games, but prior to that the over hit six consecutive times.

I like Louisville a lot here. The Cardinals are 14-3 at home, while the Tar Heels are only 4-4 on the road. The public might be siding with North Carolina, but oddsmakers have Louisville favored for good reason. Take the home team in this spot.

NCAA DAILY PREDICTION: LOUISVILLE CARDINALS -1

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