Duke vs. Virginia Pick
Who has the edge when No. 14 Virginia hosts No. 12 Duke in a big ACC contest tonight at 9PM ET?
According to oddsmakers at BetDSI, Virginia is favored at home, as the Cavaliers are getting odds of -4.5 points against Duke. The over/under total for the game is listed at 129 points. Duke has won three of the last four against Virginia, but the Cavaliers have covered the spread in five of their last six meetings with Duke.
Duke is on a five-game winning streak. The Blue Devils are now 20-5 on the season and 8-4 in the ACC. However, they are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games and are 10-14 against the spread on the season. Duke averages 81.9 points per game on offense while allowing just 68 on defense. However, on the road, the Blue Devils are giving up 76.2 points per contest. Luke Kennard is leading the team with 20 points and 5.1 rebounds per game while Grayson Allen is adding 15.9 points and 4 assists per contest.
Virginia is coming off a surprising 80-78 OT loss to Virginia Tech this weekend to drop to 18-6 overall and 8-4 in the ACC. The Cavaliers are 14-8 against the spread on the season, including an 8-4 mark on the road. Virginia is averaging 69.3 points per game on offense while allowing just 55.1 on defense. At home, UVA is giving up just 49.8 points per contest. London Perrantes is leading the team with 12.6 points and 3.9 assists per game while Marial Shayok is adding 9.7 points per contest.
Virginia has had some slip ups on the road, but the Cavaliers have bounced back well at home. UVA had a 16-point win over Louisville following the loss to Syracuse and a 23-point win over Virginia Tech following a loss at Villanova. The Cavaliers’ defense should give Duke problems and though the Blue Devils have been winning, they have been beating up on some of the lower teams in the ACC for the most part.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL DAILY PREDICTION: VIRGINIA -4.5